The data release entries on the firm's 2026 watchlist. Each event names what we are watching for and links to the most relevant insight on file.
Bureau of Labor Statistics April Consumer Price Index. Watching the shelter component disinflation and the goods reflation from the IEEPA tariff pass through.
Watching for Whether tariff-driven goods inflation has begun to print above the shelter disinflation.
Office for National Statistics April CPI. Services inflation the BoE's swing variable.
Watching for Services CPI year-on-year and the print's effect on June MPC pricing.
World Gold Council Quarterly Gold Demand Trends. Official sector net buying tracking three highest years on record (2022 1,082t, 2023 1,037t, 2024 1,045t). IMF COFER USD share at 58.4 percent.
Watching for Central bank net buying trajectory, India RBI gold repatriation pace, and PBoC monthly disclosures.
Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation Q1 release. ISM 2.0 disbursements through Tata Dholera and Micron Sanand visible.
Watching for Whether semiconductor capex translates into manufacturing GVA and the RBI's monsoon-conditioned rate path.
IMF Global Financial Stability Report October 2026 chapter on non-bank financial intermediation including Asia private credit growth and BDC leverage.
Watching for Whether the GFSR captures Asia origination growth above the 10 percent global share and signals new prudential responses.
INEGI second-quarter national accounts release. The first hard read on the IEEPA tariff impact on the manufacturing cluster.
Watching for Whether nearshoring FDI conversion and Bajio cluster output have decoupled from the tariff baseline.
Trepp monthly CMBS delinquency report. Office sector concentration leads. Regional bank CRE concentration above FDIC 300 percent RBC threshold for ~12 percent of community banks.
Watching for Special servicing rate trajectory, office maturity wall executions, and regional bank M&A wave.
2026 to 2027 cocoa main crop deliveries to COCOBOD plus the IMF ECF fifth review under the post-DSA programme.
Watching for Whether COCOBOD farmgate adjustments and gold-export windfalls let the cedi defend its post-restructuring band.
2027 maturity wall steps up sharply for leveraged loans and HY bonds; lender-on-lender violence and LME share become the operative variable.
Watching for Whether liability management exercises rise above 60 percent of distressed events and the CRE office vacancy print stabilizes below 22 percent.
To Lam first full-year governance test under 8.0 percent GDP target. FDI realised USD 25.4B / registered USD 38.2B 2025 baseline. April 2 / April 9 tariff sequence (46 percent paused to 10 percent) outcome.
Watching for Whether VND holds 25,500 to USD with USD 78B reserves, and Hanoi-Vinh USD 8.4B HSR groundbreak.