The corporate and earnings entries on the firm's 2026 watchlist. Each event names what we are watching for and links to the most relevant insight on file.
Mid-quarter chip-equipment and pure-play foundry quarterly. The export control regime overlay continues.
Watching for EUV booking trajectory and TSMC US, German, and Japanese fab schedule.
Half-year results. Capital expenditure plan and dividend policy under PIF allocation pressure.
Watching for Whether the dividend stays at the post-Vision-2030-reset baseline or scales back further.
VinFast targets first US-built VF6/VF7 deliveries from Chatham County, North Carolina, after the 2025 to 2026 schedule slip. Section 232 review on EVs and Section 30D FEOC enforcement frame the bookings.
Watching for Whether NC Chatham first deliveries hit nameplate and whether Section 30D FEOC battery-content disqualification holds Vingroup-CATL bookings below 10k units.
Frontier model release cycle for the next major capability tier and accompanying token-pricing competition with DeepSeek R2 and open-source equivalents.
Watching for Whether the per-million output token floor breaks below USD 1 for frontier-grade models and how hyperscaler capex absorbs the deflation.
Janes annual defense budget and SIPRI Year-End Update with the European primes' Q3 2026 reporting and US Defense Innovation Unit pipeline.
Watching for Whether NATO 3 percent of GDP language at the November summit accelerates tier-2/3 supplier roll-ups and 155mm shell capacity additions.
Samsung HBM4 12H mass production target Q3 2026 with NVIDIA Blackwell-Ultra and Rubin qualification gate.
Watching for Whether Samsung closes the gap with SK Hynix on HBM share, whether Micron stays at 9 percent, and how BIS HBM controls hold or relax under Trump 2.0.