Where the math is defensible.
Long-form research on live enterprise decisions. Publication is selective. Every number traces to a named source. No takes without evidence.
Climate Displacement 2026: Pacific Visas, Loss and Damage, and the Adaptation Finance Gap
Disaster displacement set a fresh record in 2023, the Falepili Union opened the first dedicated climate mobility pathway, and the Loss and Damage Fund began disbursing. The architecture is forming faster than the financing.
Climate driven mobility crossed two thresholds in the past 24 months. The Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre logged 26.4 million new internal disaster displacements in 2023, the third highest annual count on record, with 8.7 million people still in displacement at year end. UNHCR estimates that of 117 million forcibly displaced globa...
Pacific tuna 2026: the FFA price floor, the eastward drift, and the USD 2 billion access economy
The Western and Central Pacific delivers more than half of the world's tuna catch and a quarter of public revenue for several Pacific Island states. The Vessel Day Scheme floor, the Dec 2024 WCPFC tropical tuna measure, and a warming ocean that pushes skipjack toward the high seas will set the price of Pacific sovereignty over the rest of the decade.
The Western and Central Pacific Ocean (WCPO) produced 2.50 million tonnes of tuna in 2023, about 55 percent of global tuna landings, per the Forum Fisheries Agency (FFA) and SPC OFP. Skipjack accounted for roughly 70 percent of the WCPO catch, yellowfin 18 percent, bigeye 8 percent, and South Pacific albacore 4 percent. The eight Parties ...