Principal: Talks

Talks and conferences

Available for conference panels, applied workshops, and corporate briefings on trade, AI compute, and macro risk.

Talks focus on what the production stack actually shows. Tariff and trade analytics from 30 years of BACI across 238 countries and 5,022 HS6 product lines. AI compute economics grounded in honest cost curves for current-generation accelerators. Macro-financial risk read through trade flows, balance of payments, and policy diffusion. Applied causal inference at the speed a client decision actually needs, with replication packages attached.

Formats range from a 20 minute briefing for a corporate strategy team to a full day workshop on trade-flow diagnostics or causal inference tooling. Conference panels and academic seminars welcome. Briefings are delivered remotely from Eastern time with flexibility for European and Asian overlap, or on site for engagements that justify travel. Slides, code, and data sources are shared in advance so the audience can audit the numbers before the session.

Topics offered

Reading the CHIPS Act in trade data

What semiconductor and equipment trade flows reveal about reshoring progress, and where the data still does not move.

GB200 and the honest compute curve

Per-token economics for frontier inference and training, with depreciation, power, and utilization treated honestly.

Building production research infrastructure with AI augmentation

How a small team runs 30 years of BACI, 58 sector analyzers, and 12 causal estimators in continuous use.

Causal inference at consultancy speed

Picking estimators that survive review when the deadline is two weeks, not two semesters.

Trade-flow diagnostics for industrial decisions

Gravity, product space, and ECI applied to sourcing, plant siting, and tariff exposure questions.

Upcoming and target venues

2027

Submitted abstract: trade-flow diagnostics

AEA Annual Meeting 2027 (ASSA)

2027

Targeted submission: AI compute economics

NBER Summer Institute (IT and Digitization)

2027

Targeted submission: international trade

NBER Summer Institute (International Trade)

2027

Targeted panel: trade and reshoring evidence

PIIE trade conferences

2027

Targeted talk: applied trade and macro forecasting

NABE Annual Meeting

Rolling

Available for industry briefings on tariff, AI compute, and macro risk

Industry conferences and panels