Electoral and political intelligence
2026-04-26
11 min read
12 sources
The Schoof Cabinet at Twenty-One Months: Wilders by Proxy and a Coalition on Probation
The Netherlands is run by an extraparliamentary technocrat fronting a four party coalition that Geert Wilders steers from the Tweede Kamer. The 2026 question is whether NSC walks before Box 3, the asylum decree, and the Tata Steel green steel file collide.
The November 22, 2023 Tweede Kamer election delivered the largest single seat shift in Dutch postwar history: PVV from 17 to 37 seats, GroenLinks PvdA at 25 under Frans Timmermans, VVD at 24 under Dilan Yesilgoz, and Pieter Omtzigt's Nieuw Sociaal Contract at 20 from a standing start. The 222 day formation, the longest in Dutch history, e...