Insights

Where the math is defensible.

Long-form research on live enterprise decisions. Publication is selective. Every number traces to a named source. No takes without evidence.

Filtering: Tag: cop30 Clear

Energy transition 2026-04-26 12 min read 10 sources

Brazil's Green Hydrogen Northeast Cluster: From MoUs to FID

Pecem, Suape, and Acu enter the year after COP30 with a hydrogen law, a 18.3 billion BRL tax credit envelope, and roughly 50 memoranda of understanding signed since 2022, but only a handful of projects within twelve months of final investment decision.

Brazil enters 2026 with the highest paper claim on the global green hydrogen export trade. The combination of capacity factors above 55 percent for hybrid solar and wind in the Northeast, the Sao Francisco wind corridor, hydropower as a firming resource, and three deepwater ports designated as hydrogen hubs gives the country a levelized c...

Energy and transition economics 2026-04-26 9 minute read 5 sources

Post-COP30 Belem 2026: NDC Trajectory, Amazon Fund, and the Forest Finance Reset

Five months after the gavel fell in Belem, the Promethean and Ceres practices assess what the conference actually delivered for tropical forest finance, NDC ambition, and the carbon market architecture taking shape across 2026 to 2028.

COP30 in Belem closed in November 2025 with a partial Belem Accord, an operational Tropical Forest Forever Facility framework, and a new generation of NDCs covering roughly 78 percent of global emissions. The package was incremental rather than transformational, but it locked in three things our clients need to plan around: a credible Bra...