Electoral and political intelligence
2026-04-26
10 minute read
19 sources
Prague Pivot: Babis, ANO, and Visegrad Fiscal Drift Through 2026
ANO returned to first place in the June 2024 European Parliament election with 26.1 percent, the Fiala SPOLU government lost the October 2025 Sněmovna vote, and Andrej Babis is back at the head of a coalition with the SPD and Motorists. The next 18 months will test whether a Babis cabinet, a Pavel presidency, and a Czech crown anchored to the CNB neutral rate can coexist with a Visegrad bloc realigning around Orban, Fico, and a slower Ukraine envelope.
Andrej Babis, prime minister of the Czech Republic from December 2017 to December 2021, is the dominant variable in central European politics through the 2026 budget cycle. ANO topped the June 2024 European Parliament election with 26.1 percent of the vote and 7 of 21 Czech seats, against 22.3 percent for the SPOLU coalition that anchored...