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Geopolitics & Resilience 2026-04-26 11 minute read 16 sources

South Korea After the Reset: Lee Jae-myung, Chip Sovereignty, and BoK Normalization

Six hours of martial law on December 3, 2024, ended a presidency, reshuffled the chip race, and forced the Bank of Korea into a faster pivot than its dot plot anticipated. The Lee Jae-myung administration inherits an economy with semiconductor exports up 43.9 percent year on year, a won at 1,470 versus the dollar, the world's lowest fertility rate at 0.75, and a chaebol governance docket that the Democratic Party caucus has been drafting for two years. The reset is real, the runway is short.

On December 3, 2024, President Yoon Suk-yeol declared martial law at 22:23 KST. The National Assembly convened, voted 190 to 0 to lift the decree by 04:30 KST, and impeached Yoon on December 14 by 204 to 85. Prime Minister Han Duck-soo served as acting president until his own impeachment on December 27, after which Finance Minister Choi S...

Macro-financial risk 2026-04-26 9 minute read 10 sources

South Korea 2026: After Martial Law, the Korea Discount Re-rated

Yoon Suk-yeol's six-hour martial law on December 3, 2024 broke a presidency, repriced the won, and handed the Lee Jae-myung Democratic Party a working mandate that now has to fix chaebol governance, household debt, and a pension system the country keeps deferring.

On December 3, 2024 President Yoon Suk-yeol invoked Article 77 of the Constitution and declared martial law for the first time since 1980. The National Assembly nullified the decree by Resolution 190-0 within hours, the Assembly impeached Yoon 415 to 0 on December 14, and the Constitutional Court removed him by a 6 to 3 ruling on April 4,...