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Macro-financial risk 2026-04-26 14 min 12 sources

Hong Kong Six Years After the National Security Law, Cumulative Financial Sector Reckoning

Six years past the June 2020 NSL and two years past Article 23, Hong Kong's IPO market has collapsed by three quarters from its 2010 peak, while the HKD peg, Stock Connect, and offshore RMB plumbing have absorbed the shock with surprising resilience.

Hong Kong in 2026 looks nothing like 2019, yet its core financial plumbing has held under unique stress. The June 2020 National Security Law and March 2024 Safeguarding National Security Ordinance (Article 23) reshaped political risk pricing, with measurable effects across IPO listings, professional services, and family office domicile. H...

Macro-financial risk 2026-04-26 10 minute read 11 sources

Hong Kong vs Singapore in 2026: The Head to Head for Asian Wealth, IPOs, and Connectivity

Hong Kong is back on the front foot with a thawing IPO market, an expanded dual counter regime, and deeper Connect schemes, while Singapore consolidates a 1,650 family office complex and a maturing Variable Capital Company stack. The two centers are no longer interchangeable.

Hong Kong enters 2026 with the strongest cyclical tailwind in three years. HKEX raised about USD 11 billion across 71 new listings in 2024, the 2025 calendar trended materially higher behind Midea's secondary listing, SF Holding's H share float, and the ZX consumer technology pipeline, and the HKD RMB Dual Counter Model has expanded to co...

Macro-financial risk 2026-04-26 11 minute read 12 sources

Singapore as Asia's wealth hub: family offices, AUM, and the post crackdown discipline trade

Singapore's family office surge from roughly 400 to 1,400 between 2020 and 2023 has been recalibrated by the Section 13O and 13U revisions of July 2023, the Stablecoin regime, and the SGD 3 billion money laundering case of August 2023.

Singapore now sits at the centre of the Asian private wealth map. The Monetary Authority of Singapore reports total assets under management of SGD 5.4 trillion at end 2023, up from SGD 4.9 trillion a year earlier, with around 78 percent of mandates sourced from outside Singapore and 89 percent invested outside the city state. Single famil...